A few days ago, Bret Stephens wrote that American democracy will survive "because most Americans, including most Republicans, remain faithfully wedded to a democratic system. " It's true that an overwhelming majority of Americans are committed to a democratic system in the sense of believing that governments should be selected by voters choosing from competing parties. But as I've observed before, people aren't necessarily committed to the things that are needed to make a democratic system work. For example, in the 1950s several surveys asked whether it was "more important to find out all the Communists in this country, even if some innocent people are accused--or is it more important to protect people who might be innocent, even if some Communists are not found out?" Solid majorities said it was more important to find out all the Communists (e. g. 64% in January 1956). There were also questions about whether the Socialist Party, which was fully committed to electoral democracy, should be allowed to publish newspapers. Opinion was pretty evenly divided--the last time it was asked, 43% said yes, 5% gave a qualified yes, 39% said no, and 13% didn't know. So maybe people were wedded to a democratic system, but many of them weren't all that faithful. But political elites generally didn't try to appeal to the potential anti-democratic sentiments. This was partly because of the Constitution and the legal system--it was pointless to advocate banning Socialist newspapers when that was going to be rejected by the courts--but partly because elites of both parties were more consistent than the general public in their commitment to democratic principles. This is still true to some extent--for example, if Trump said we should cancel or delay the 2026 elections, he might get substantial support among Republican voters, but I'm confident (OK, pretty confident) that almost all Republicans in Congress would still oppose it. However, there are many ways in which the system can be altered in ways that make it harder for those who disagree with the administration to operate, and here is where there's been a change. Republican political elites accept or even defend things that were once considered off-limits, like mid-decade redrawing of Congressional districts, or selective denial of funds to disfavored states or organizations.* If the process continues, the result will be an increasingly unbalanced system, where we still have regular elections offering a choice between parties, but it becomes harder for the Democrats to win and to implement their policies when they do have office.
*See this article on Trump's actions against Colorado. A revealing passage: "Some Colorado Republicans blame the state’s Democratic leaders for provoking Mr. Trump’s wrath."
[Data from the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research]
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