Just the social facts, ma'am

This is inspired by a post  by Ross Douthat on talk of running a third-party candidate if Donald Trump is the Republican nominee, with the ...

Carl Morris offered three examples of poll results (see this post by Andrew Gelman for a link and discussion). The numbers are those who sa...

A fact that will probably be mentioned a lot before November, especially if Hillary Clinton gets the Democratic nomination, is that inequali...

In the fall, I had several posts on why conservatism became a "movement."  I've been thinking about this issue off and on si...

I experimented with the model for predicting elections discussed in my last post.  I couldn't exactly reproduce Norpoth's results, b...

I was part way through a post on another topic when I heard a story about how Donald Trump was predicted to have a 97% chance of beating Hil...

For those who can't get enough of my writing, here are two that appeared elsewhere: "The Missing Main Effect of Welfare State Reg...